NHL free agency 2019: Predicting where the top free agents will sign

COLUMBUS, OH - APRIL 14: Columbus Blue Jackets left wing Artemi Panarin (9) and Columbus Blue Jackets goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky (72) celebrate after winning game three of a Stanley Cup first round playoff game between the Columbus Blue Jackets and the Tampa Bay Lightning on April 14, 2019 at Nationwide Arena in Columbus, OH. (Photo by Adam Lacy/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
COLUMBUS, OH - APRIL 14: Columbus Blue Jackets left wing Artemi Panarin (9) and Columbus Blue Jackets goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky (72) celebrate after winning game three of a Stanley Cup first round playoff game between the Columbus Blue Jackets and the Tampa Bay Lightning on April 14, 2019 at Nationwide Arena in Columbus, OH. (Photo by Adam Lacy/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
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nhl free agency joe pavelski
Photo by Cody Glenn/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

4. Joe Pavelski – Dallas Stars

The San Jose Sharks would probably love to retain Joe Pavelski, but after extending Karlsson, they only have about $14.82 million in cap space to re-sign their captain, pending UFA Joe Thornton, and RFAs Kevin Labanc and Timo Meier.

One of them is going to have to go, and with Pavelski likely to command a deal worth around $7 to $9 million a season, it’s easy to believe that he’s played his final game with the Sharks. In fact, Pavelski already took meetings with the Dallas Stars and Tampa Bay Lightning, per TSN’s Pierre LeBrun.

The Stars make perfect sense for Pavelski here, and they certainly have a lot to offer him. They fell just one game shy of reaching the Western Conference Final, despite ranking 29th in offense with a mere 29 goals. Secondary scoring is a need for general manager Jim Nill, and he has just under $11 million in cap space to address it.

Pavelski would be joining a budding contender, and maybe he could move onto a line with All-Stars Jamie Benn and Tyler Seguin. And of course, Pavelski wouldn’t have to pay state taxes in Dallas, so the organization can offer him the most money.

Add it all up, and the Stars are a prime fit for Pavelski. They’re an up-and-coming contender with lots of veteran star power, and they have the money to spend. If winning and cash are what matter most to Pavelski, then Dallas shall be his next stop. A four-year deal worth around $9 million annually should get the deal done.