NHL Mock Expansion Draft: Protection Lists, Explanations, & More

May 11, 2016; Las Vegas, NV, USA; General view of the T-Mobile Arena adjacent to the Las Vegas strip. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
May 11, 2016; Las Vegas, NV, USA; General view of the T-Mobile Arena adjacent to the Las Vegas strip. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports /
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Nov 3, 2016; Buffalo, NY, USA; Toronto Maple Leafs center Mitchell Marner (16) celebrates a goal during the second period against the Buffalo Sabres at KeyBank Center. Mandatory Credit: Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 3, 2016; Buffalo, NY, USA; Toronto Maple Leafs center Mitchell Marner (16) celebrates a goal during the second period against the Buffalo Sabres at KeyBank Center. Mandatory Credit: Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports /

Toronto Maple Leafs

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Joffrey Lupul 33 $5.25M F Trevor Moore
F Nazem Kadri 26 $4.5M F Auston Matthews
F Brooks Laich 33 UFA F Zach Hyman
F James van Riemsdyk 27 $4.25M F William Nylander
F Tyler Bozak 30 $4.2M F Mitch Marner
F Milan Michalek 31 UFA F Kasperi Kapanen
F Leo Komarov 29 $2.95M F Frederik Gauthier
F Colin Greening 30 UFA F Andreas Johnsson
F Matt Martin 27 $2.5M F Nikita Soshnikov
F Peter Holland 25 RFA F Tobias Lindberg
F Kerby Rychel 22 $863K F Dmytro Timashov
F Connor Brown 22 RFA
F Ben Smith 28 UFA D Nikita Zaitsev
F Brendan Leipsic 22 RFA D Travis Dermott
F Seth Griffith 23 RFA D Rinat Valiev
F Josh Leivo 23 $613K D Justin Holl
F Byron Froese 25 RFA D Andrew Nielsen
D Morgan Rielly 22 $5.0M G Kasimir Kaskisuo
D Jake Gardiner 26 $4.05M
D Roman Polak 30 UFA
D Martin Marincin 24 $1.25M
D Connor Carrick 22 $750K
D Viktor Loov 23 RFA
D Frank Corrado 23 RFA
D Andrew Campbell 28 UFA
D Matt Hunwick 31 UFA
G Frederik Andersen 27 $5.0M
G Jhonas Enroth 28 UFA
G Antoine Bibeau 22 RFA
G Garret Sparks 23 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Nazem Kadri F Nazem Kadri F Nazem Kadri
F James van Riemsdyk F James van Riemsdyk F James van Riemsdyk
F Leo Komarov F Leo Komarov F Leo Komarov
F Connor Brown F Connor Brown F Connor Brown
F Matt Martin F Josh Leivo D Morgan Rielly
F Kerby Rychel F Byron Froese D Jake Gardiner
F Brendan Leipsic F Brendan Leipsic D Martin Marincin
D Morgan Rielly D Morgan Rielly D Connor Carrick
D Jake Gardiner D Jake Gardiner G Frederik Andersen
D Martin Marincin D Connor Carrick
G Frederik Andersen G Frederik Andersen

The Maple Leafs are one of those few teams that could use either protection scheme and have it make little difference to the quality of player left available. Given the fact there’s a handful of younger forwards who could have a future in Toronto, it makes sense to use the traditional 7-3-1.

Protection List:

In terms of locks for protections, goaltender Frederik Andersen, defenders Morgan Rielly and Jake Gardiner, and forwards Nazem Kadri, James van Riemsdyk, Leo Komarov are safe bets. You might even throw F Connor Brown’s name in there seeing as there’s little chance he’s left exposed. For those final three forward spots, we’re opting with AHL points leader Brendan Leipsic, tough guy Matt Martin, and prospect Kerby Rychel.

For that final spot on the blue line, I’ve selected Martin Marincin. Depending how the year plays out, Connor Carrick might be able to narrow the gap, perhaps even surpass Marincin.

Alternative Protection List 1:

Here’s what the list might look like if Toronto wants to protect a bit more of that youth they’ve worked hard to put together.

Alternative Protection List 2:

Now, there’s always a chance Lou and company could look at that list of forwards beyond their top four (Martin, Rychel, Leipsic, Froese, etc.) and say “we’d rather protect both Marincin and Carrick and let Vegas choose from a group of largely unknowns (aside from Martin).”

Let’s be honest anyways, given the lack of talent that will be available, goaltenders Antoine Bibeau and Garret Sparks could be prime targets.